Sunday, August 28, 2011

Estimated Growth Review

I reviewed my portfolio against Y!Fin's estimates this morning. Y!'s data seems to be lagging, but I was mostly looking for sales estimates.

This table shows the quarterly YoY sales growth (in percent) estimates for the next two quarters, and the minimum estimated quarterly YoY EPS growth.

Ticker Est Sales Gr. Est. EPS Gr. Forward P/E
SPRD 83, 42 56, 3% 7.3
ARR > 270 -- 7.9
CPX 42, 34 > 78% 9.6
PTEN 72, 43 > 95% 10.2
FHN 60, 65 > 121% 12.9
HURC 75, 30 > 333% 17.3
VRTS 21, 13 > 143% 21.0
ROSE 50, 54 > 246% 21.8
TIBX 19, 15 > 52% 26.5
MCP 1800, 792 > 558% 27.4

Other observations were that NLY's sales are declining sequentially and basically flat YoY which may make ARR a better REIT option. HUN and TW aren't as compelling as they were. I may look to exit these positions.

I hadn't taken the time to look up FHN's sales estimates before, so that was a pleasant surprise which supports their earnings growth estimates.

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