Sunday, September 20, 2015

MOH Gone

MOH had a good run but EPS estimates started slipping. I put a 4% trailing stop loss order in place. It triggered on Friday, +11.9%.

The SPY puts are still in place.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

LP RI OP on AMAG

Leerink Partners reiterates its outperform rating for AMAG. "there is a high likelihood that the [competitor's] drug is contraindicated for use in pregnant women". [Street Insider]

Monday, September 14, 2015

Watching MGR

I'll grab some more MGR if it hits my limit order this week. MGR is exchange traded debt issued by AMG (which hasn't fared quite as well) which pays a 6-3/8% dividend on $25 par value callable in August 2017. That gives it a present value of $28.19. It closed at $26.11 today.

[SA article]

EFOI ... Again

I still like EFOI if their number hold. After the drubbing they took Thursday and Friday their forward P/E dropped to 17.7. It seemed to stabilize this morning so I bought some shares.

Too bad I didn't pick up some TRVN too. Up 15.5% for the day.

Saturday, September 12, 2015

More AMAG

I bought more AMAG yesterday when it was down 10.8% on news of debatable impact to AMAG (SeekingAlpha - read comments).

The SPY puts are still in place.

Friday, September 11, 2015

Updates, SEDG & AMAG

SEDG had great news on their new HD-Wave inverters (PV mag article), up 4.1% for the day.

AMAG went down even more, -4.7%. With triple-digit quarterly revenue growth for the last three quarters and a forward P/E of 7.4 this looks like an easy buy. But EPS estimates were just revised down a few percent for the next two quarters, slightly reducing the estimates for this year and next. It's problematic if this becomes a trend.

MOH has been a steady performer without all the drama. Not cheap with a forward P/E of 22, but good growth projected for earnings and revenue.

I went short against the general market again with SPY puts.

Wednesday, September 9, 2015

DFS Gone, Less SEDG

DFS was bought in anticipation of a Fed rate hike. Since purchase DFS has been mostly good at going down. The morning started off like a 2-day rally, and I was going to sell into it. When the market started to turn south I jettisoned the DFS shares, -11.2%.

Around the same time I also sold my highest priced (and smallest) lot of SEDG, -8.9%. I'm still overweight with SEDG shares so I haven't given up on them. Just reducing my exposure and the thrashing my portfolio takes when the market tanks. More money for cheaper shares later.

My top holdings are SEDG, AMAG, and INFN.

AMAG still looks really good though the EPS estimates are bouncing around a bit. But why buy when it keeps getting cheaper? I plan to add to my position before that train leaves the station.